PM
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2024 landed in line with internal expectations: net revenue $495.1M (+0.8% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS $0.05, Adjusted EPS $0.20, and Adjusted EBITDA $37.2M; management reaffirmed FY24 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $200–$220M .
- Mix and volume were constructive: NICU days +2.5% (≈+1.5 pts excluding leap day) and maternal-fetal medicine (MFM) volumes “about 3%,” while primary/urgent care volumes declined; commercial payor mix improved ~130 bps YoY .
- Strategic actions intensified: exit of ~two dozen primary/urgent care clinics to be completed in Q2, accelerated disposal of underperforming office-based practices, and formalization of a hybrid RCM model with Guidehouse; roughly one-third of practices had transitioned by the call with completion targeted by end of Q3 .
- Cash usage was seasonally heavy (operating cash flow used: $122.6M), with DSO up ~1.5 days from 12/31 tied to Change Healthcare disruption and RCM transition timing; company expects Q2 Adjusted EBITDA to represent 24–25% of FY24 guidance, implying second-half weighting as restructuring benefits phase in .
- Wall Street estimate comparison (S&P Global) was unavailable due to data access limits; beat/miss cannot be assessed this quarter (see Estimates Context) [S&P Global data unavailable].
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Hospital-based volumes improved and mix helped: NICU days +2.5% YoY and commercial mix +130 bps; MFM volume “about 3%” despite no leap year boost to office days .
- Reaffirmed FY24 Adjusted EBITDA guidance ($200–$220M); management emphasized margin stabilization via portfolio restructuring and hybrid RCM transition .
- RCM execution tracking to plan: contract finalized with Guidehouse; ~1/3 of practices transitioned with no negative impact to RCM performance cited .
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What Went Wrong
- Adjusted EBITDA fell YoY to $37.2M (from $40.1M), and seasonally weak Q1 used $122.6M in operating cash flow; DSO rose ~1.5 days due to external (Change Healthcare) and transition timing .
- Office-based primary/urgent care volumes declined; management is exiting the primary/urgent care platform and accelerating disposals of underperforming office-based practices to address margin dilution .
- Practice salaries & benefits remained elevated, reflecting salary and group health cost pressures; G&A rose modestly on internal staffing to build the hybrid RCM capability .
Financial Results
Cost Structure and Mix
KPIs and Same-Unit Trends
Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Guidance Changes
Implied Q2 Adjusted EBITDA from cadence: ~$48–$55M (24–25% of $200–$220M) based on management’s stated percentage of full-year guidance .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are reaffirming our full year 2024 outlook of adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $220 million… [and] enacting changes that will stabilize our margins… and enable a lower cost structure going forward.”
- “We’ve… made the strategic decision to exit our primary and urgent care clinic platform… roughly two dozen clinics… We intend to complete this exit during the second quarter of this year.”
- “We finalized a contract with Guidehouse, under which that organization will be our third-party RCM provider… [hybrid] structure is the most cost-effective way to fully support our practices.”
- “During Q1, we used $123 million in operating cash flow… DSO rose roughly 1.5 days from 12/31, reflecting a slight impact from the Change Healthcare incident and… RCM transition process.”
- “We expect that adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter will contribute 24% to 25% of our full year outlook of $200 million to $220 million.”
Q&A Highlights
- Sizing and cadence of restructuring: Non-same unit revenue down ~$6.8M in Q1 reflects in-process dispositions; that impact should grow as exits continue; Q3 typically the strongest EBITDA quarter seasonally, with 1H representing ~18% (Q1) and ~24–25% (Q2) of FY guidance .
- Rationale for practice exits: Not tied to contract renewal cycles; targeted at practices with negative EBITDA contribution after prior remediation attempts .
- Volumes outlook: Stable demand expected for 2024; MFM volumes encouraging; NICU days growth driven by admission rate and length of stay .
- SWB trajectory: Salaries remain elevated vs historical; portfolio actions should lower SWB as a % of revenue as high-SWB sites are removed .
- Stipends: Ongoing renegotiations with health systems to ensure adequate coverage support, especially for services requiring subsidies .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q1 2024 EPS and Revenue were unavailable due to access limits at the time of this analysis, so beat/miss cannot be determined this quarter (we anchor estimate comparisons to S&P Global when available). Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at query time.
- Given management’s FY24 Adjusted EBITDA reaffirmation and explicit Q2 contribution (24–25% of FY), near-term sell-side models may need to reflect heavier 2H weighting as portfolio exits and RCM progress flow through .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution quarter: modest growth, reaffirmed FY24 EBITDA guide, and detailed 1H-to-2H cadence reduce near-term estimate risk; watch for Q2 delivery of ~$48–$55M Adjusted EBITDA implied by cadence .
- Structural pivot: exiting primary/urgent care and accelerating office-based practice disposals should lift margins by removing dilutive sites; progress updates in Q2/Q3 are key catalysts .
- RCM de-risking: Guidehouse hybrid model and staged transition (~1/3 completed) aim to stabilize cash conversion; monitor DSOs and cash flow normalization in Q2 .
- Demand stable with positive mix: NICU days +2.5% and commercial mix +130 bps offset office-based softness; MFM volumes remain a bright spot .
- Cost vigilance: PS&B and G&A remain elevated as RCM insourcing builds; management targets G&A as % of revenue comparable to or lower than 2023, with restructuring benefits weighted to 2H .
- Balance sheet: leverage increased sequentially with revolver usage in Q1; free cash flow inflection typically starts in Q2 as seasonal cash headwinds abate .
- Stock drivers: evidence of timely clinic exits, RCM conversion milestones, and Q2 print in the guided contribution range likely drive near-term sentiment; sustained improvement in EBITDA margin into 2H would support re-rating .
References: Q1 2024 earnings press release and financial tables ; Q1 2024 earnings call transcript ; Q4 2023 press release/transcript ; Q3 2023 press release/transcript .